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End Of Times Is Here

The year 2012 refers to the last year of the Long Count Mayan calendar. 
The current Great Cycle, as the Mayans call it, is set to end on the winter 
solstice of 2012 - to be exact December 21st 2012. Many people believe
that on this date, our world will change forever and never be the same...

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Pilates 4 All

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[CAR-PGa] An interview with Cameron McNary, author of Of Dice and Men

(Cut and pasted from The Escapist Blog - www.theescapist.com/blog)

Cameron McNary is the author of Of Dice and Men, a play in two acts
about a group of friends and roleplayers who find themselves having to
cope with some life-changing, real-world decisions. The show has found
some critical acclaim, and even changed some minds about the
roleplaying hobby and the people who play it.

I had the opportunity to talk to Cameron about his inspiration for
writing the play and the issues that it addresses. You can read the
full interview here - http://www.theescapist.com/interview-mcnary.htm

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Re: [CAR-PGa] Re: founder of DragonCon in trouble again

We have a substantial file on Kramer, going back over a decade.  Nowhere, until this, is there any mention of religion or ethnos.  I find it a little difficult to substantiate a claim of "anti-Semitism" when there is no mention of either.  Never mind that the Semitic groups getting hit most today are Arabs, and by extension, Muslims (despite the fact that Arabs are a minority in Islam).  The surname is meaningless in this also.  The only Kramers I know are Baptist, Methodist, and not anything in particular.

You are right that one can "be a victim of discrimination AND a pedophile", but it is a weak argument that one can be the victim of discrimination  when the identity of that discrimination is never mentioned or even alluded to.  At least being a quarter of the organizers of a major convention was mentioned - in 2000 repeatedly.  For that matter, do we have any published connection between Kramer and gaming?  DragonCon was and is primarily a SF/Fantasy fan con, even though gaming is a significant part of it.


From: "Mike "Talien" Tresca" <talien@toast.net>
To: CAR-PGa: The Committee for the Advancement of Role-Playing Games <car-pga@googlegroups.com>
Sent: Wednesday, September 28, 2011 7:29 PM
Subject: [CAR-PGa] Re: founder of DragonCon in trouble again

I struggled with writing the article, because as a parent my knee-jerk
reaction isn't a positive one.  There's an entire side to the story
that argues Kramer is the victim of anti-Semitism:
http://atlantajewish.com/content/2004/edkramer.html.  That article has
more facts about the case (putting aside its bias in favor of Kramer)
than any other article I've read to date.

Of course, popular media seems to require a reader "pick sides" -- you
can't be a victim of discrimination AND a pedophile, you're either one
or the other.

In any case, several major points -- like the fairly damning evidence
of pornographic material at his house -- was actually thrown out in
court. But you won't find that in most articles.

In the end I chose to focus on the defense I'm primarily concerned
with -- his affiliation with the gaming community.



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[CAR-PGa] Re: Interesting CAR-PGa Naming Coincidence

On Sep 28, 11:44 pm, Quilt City Ogres <hoope...@gmail.com> wrote:
> As part of a recent OGREs task, I've been trying to run down clubs
> that are not OGREs-branded. We're creating a database (one day with
> the hope of patching them over ;) , but also because we field a ton of
> "can you help me find players/groups in my area" and we don't have
> chapters there). Anyways, in a fit of boredom I did something I should
> of tried first - googled "rpg clubs."
>
> Anyways, one of the first page hits is the "Capital Area Role-
> Players", and they have a sub-group for just RPGA that they call the
> CARPGA.
>
> I doubt it would ever actually confuse anyone, but I thought I would
> mention it to see if anyone thinks we should attempt to ask them to
> place a "not to be confused with the CAR-PGa" statement or something?
> Anyways, just thought I'd note it.
This the name of a Club is in My home town they are good people and
when time allows I will game with them again.

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[CAR-PGa] Interesting CAR-PGa Naming Coincidence

As part of a recent OGREs task, I've been trying to run down clubs
that are not OGREs-branded. We're creating a database (one day with
the hope of patching them over ;) , but also because we field a ton of
"can you help me find players/groups in my area" and we don't have
chapters there). Anyways, in a fit of boredom I did something I should
of tried first - googled "rpg clubs."

Anyways, one of the first page hits is the "Capital Area Role-
Players", and they have a sub-group for just RPGA that they call the
CARPGA.

I doubt it would ever actually confuse anyone, but I thought I would
mention it to see if anyone thinks we should attempt to ask them to
place a "not to be confused with the CAR-PGa" statement or something?
Anyways, just thought I'd note it.

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Category: 0 comments

[CAR-PGa] Re: founder of DragonCon in trouble again

On Sep 27, 11:58 pm, "M. Alan Thomas II" <m.alan.thomas...@gmail.com>
wrote:
> The only other point of interest was a reference back to the original
> charges 11 years ago: "Three teenage boys asserted that he sexually
> abused them after dazzling them with action figures, sci-fi
> memorabilia and celebrity connections." It doesn't mention any of the
> other incidents from his past that Mike brings up at the Examiner, so
> he actually comes out looking better in his local press than he does
> in ours. (I'm not sure what to make of that, but I figure that the
> truth can't hurt us.)

I struggled with writing the article, because as a parent my knee-jerk
reaction isn't a positive one. There's an entire side to the story
that argues Kramer is the victim of anti-Semitism:
http://atlantajewish.com/content/2004/edkramer.html. That article has
more facts about the case (putting aside its bias in favor of Kramer)
than any other article I've read to date.

Of course, popular media seems to require a reader "pick sides" -- you
can't be a victim of discrimination AND a pedophile, you're either one
or the other.

In any case, several major points -- like the fairly damning evidence
of pornographic material at his house -- was actually thrown out in
court. But you won't find that in most articles.

In the end I chose to focus on the defense I'm primarily concerned
with -- his affiliation with the gaming community.

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Category: 0 comments

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End Of Times Is Here

The year 2012 refers to the last year of the Long Count Mayan calendar. 
The current Great Cycle, as the Mayans call it, is set to end on the winter 
solstice of 2012 - to be exact December 21st 2012. Many people believe
that on this date, our world will change forever and never be the same...

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SMART INVESTMENT BY SMART PROFIT

SMART INVESTMENT BY SMART PROFIT

BUY NATIONAL HYDRO POWER CORPORATION (533098)
CMP: 24
Target: 40 in 6 months
National Hydro Power Corporation, an entity of Government of India, is
country's largest hydro power producer.
NHPC is currently having an installed capacity of more than 5,300 MW
with 14 operational power stations and has a cash surplus of over Rs.
4,000 crore.
Net profit of NHPC rose 47.19% to Rs. 791.05 crore in the quarter
ended June 2011 as against Rs.537.42 crore during the previous quarter
ended June 2010. Sales rose 40.37% to Rs.1431.41 crore in the quarter
ended June 2011 as against Rs.1019.71 crore during the previous
quarter ended June 2010.
The state-run major is engaged in the construction of 10 projects at
various locations in the country, going to have an additional capacity
of 4,502 MW. It is planning to develop two hydro projects in Myanmar.
It plans to increase the capacity to over 10,000 MW by end of 2012.
The coal price is expected to rise by 2012, which will result in
increase in power price by 20%. This will further boost the profit
margin of NHPC to a large extent.
Spanning on Government's increasing emphasis on hydro power and NHPC's
strong hold, we recommend a BUY on NHPC at CMP of Rs 24, with a target
of Rs.40 in 6 months.

BUY FIRST SOURCE LIMITED (532809)
CMP: 12
Target: 24 in 4 months

Firstsource is a global BPO (business process outsourcing) service
provider, and is ranked #25 amongst the world's leading Global
Outsourcing companies by IAOP. They provide customized BPO solutions
to category leading companies in several industries including Banking
& Financial Services, Telecom & Media and Healthcare sectors. FSL
utilize global delivery model with operations in the USA, UK, India
and The Philippines. They are expanding their Asia business unit.
With more than 27000 employees, its revenue earning for FY 2010-211 is
US $ 44.8 2016 Crore.
Total income from operations rose to Rs.523 crore during the April-
June quarter of 2011, compared to Rs.490.70 crore in the same period
last year. The volumes have risen by 6.6% on a yearly basis and 7.3%
in constant currency terms.
FSL sees a significant growth in Asia business unit, which is a
positive trend. In June quarter, they expanded their workforce by 25%
by adding 3000 new employees.
The expansion of workforce gives light on the increasing work of FSL
which shall be reflected in the coming quarters.

With expansion in geographical dimensions, increasing capacity and
work load, FSL is bound to grow at a higher rate. We recommend a
strong BUY with target of Rs.24 in 4 months.

BUY NEYVELI LIGNITE CORPORATION LIMITED (513683)
CMP: 82
Target: 150
NLC is a government-owned lignite mining Indian company, which is
wholly owned by the Union Government (49%) and administered via coal
ministry. It is recently announced as "Navratna" by Government of
India in April 2011. NLC Neyveli spreads over an area of around 54
square km, comprising Neyveli Township and temporary colonies around
32 blocks. The company runs the biggest open-pit lignite mines in
India and mines around 2.4 Crore tonnes of lignite annually for fuel,
with an installed capacity of 2490 MW of electricity per annum.
NLC now elaborated its project to Rajasthan also in mining as well as
thermal stations, 3 big mines also supplies a huge amount of sweet
water to Chennai. The Tamil Nadu electricity board has a JV with the
Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd (NLC) for two projects – A 1000-MW
coal-based project at Tuticorin in southy Tamil Nadu at the cost of Rs.
4000 crore and the Jayamkondam lignite power project at a cost of Rs.
5000 crore for 1000 – MW power plant.The company has also planned to
develop clean coal technologies like extraction of coal bed methane
(CBM) and Underground coal gasification for which several steps have
been taken.
Total income has increased from Rs.1258 Crore for the quarter ended
June 30, 2010 to Rs.1425 Crore for the quarter ended June 30, 2011,
representing increase of 13.28%.
Neyveli Lignite is an open-cast mechanized lignite mine. The Company
has 50 percent joint venture with Tamil Nadu Electricity Board and its
announced its plans to invest about Rs.36,900crore on power generation
and mining capacity augmentation by 2017. The plan also includes
development of power projects using other fuel feed. The company is
also planning to invest Rs.40,200 crore to build power plants in Tamil
Nadu, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh.
Strong expansion & diversification plans to explore coal-based, wind
and solar power generation projects will add on strength to the
cashbook.
We recommend 'BUY' on the stock at CMP 82 with a target price of Rs.
150 in 5 months


TATA COMMUNICATION (500483)
CMP: 192
Target: 250 in 2 months

Tata Communications Limited along with its global subsidiaries (Tata
Communications) is a leading global provider of the new world of
communications. The Tata Global Network encompasses one of the most
advanced and largest submarine cable networks, a Tier-1 IP network,
connectivity to more than 200 countries across 400 PoPs and more than
10 lac square feet data center space. Tata Communications serves its
customers from its offices in 80 cities in 40 countries worldwide.

The number one global international wholesale voice operator and
number one provider of International Long Distance, Enterprise Data
and Internet Services in India, the company was named "Best Wholesale
Carrier" at the World Communications Awardsand was named the "Best Pan-
Asian Wholesale Provider".

Tata Communications Ltd. is a part of the $6740 Crore Tata Companies;
it is listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock
Exchange of India and its ADRs are listed on the New York Stock
Exchange (NYSE: TCL).

Total income rose to Rs.3294.33 Crore during the April-June quarter of
2011, compared to Rs.2900.44 crore in the same period last year.

Tata comm has made conscious efforts to diversify from its core
wholesale voice business and tap the higher margin managed services
and cloud business.

We believe the stock is a good opportunity point as long term drivers
are intact as addressable market opportunity leaves tremendous scope
for expansion stock may go up by 40%.
We recommend 'BUY' on the stock at CMP 192 with a target price of Rs.
250 in 2 months


DISCLAIMER:- Smart Profit has taken due care and caution in
compilation of data for its reports. The market view and investment
tips expressed on Smart Profit are in no way a guarantee either
express or implied. However, Smart Profit does not guarantee the
accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not
responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained
from the use of such information. CEO, Directors and staff may have a
position in the recommended stock.

Contact Details

DIPAK MANGELA
(Research Analyst)
Email: dipak.mangela@smartprofit.in
Tel : 9820260291

MANSINGH RAI
(Senior Executive)
Email: mansingh.rai@smartprofit.in
Tel : 9320907684

SHAILESH GOWDA
(Senior Executive)
Email: shailesh.gowda@smartprofit.in
Tel : 9967394114

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[CAR-PGa] Romach: Helping troubled youth in Israel with RPGs

(Cut and pasted from The Escapist Blog - www.theescapist.com/blog)

From Purple Pawn comes the brief but positive story about an
organization called Romach in Raanan, Israel that uses role-playing
games as a form of therapy for troubled youth:

" The organizers have enlisted a psychiatrist and some therapists
for the project. They trained them as to how RPGs work (their RPG of
choice is Warhammer Fantasy; 4e is too combat oriented) and they
received training on how to run the sessions to ensure that each child
encounters situations that can help them work through issues. The
sessions, and the club, look nothing like therapy, which is the
point."

This is refreshing news coming from Israel - some of you may remember
an article from 2005 (http://theescapist.com/archive-IDF.htm) about
how the Israeli Defense Force considers roleplayers a security risk,
and how soldiers who admit to playing Dungeons & Dragons are "sent to
a professional for an evaluation, usually a psychologist."

It seems like Romach is sort of a logical response to this sort of
ignorance - especially since, as the Purple Pawn article suggests,
there are plans to expand the program to give leadership training to
the military.

Read the full article here - http://www.purplepawn.com/2011/09/romach-using-roleplaying-as-social-therapy/
- and here's hoping we'll see a lot more about this!

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[CAR-PGa] Re: founder of DragonCon in trouble again

Okay:

Worst so far:
http://www.ctpost.com/policereports/article/Cops-Sci-fi-convention-founder-caught-with-boy-2172530.php
Refers to "DragonCon, Kramer's convention," and does not mention that
he is no longer associated with it.

Other stories that do not mention his lack of current association with
the convention:
http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2011/09/15/DragonCon-founder-caught-with-teenage-boy/UPI-60541316104445/
http://thesilvertongueonline.com/2011/09/dragoncon-co-founder-arrested-at-hotel-with-14-year-old-boy/
http://www.chron.com/news/article/DragonCon-founder-arrested-bond-revoked-in-Ga-2171016.php
http://loganville.patch.com/articles/dragoncon-founder-kramer-busted-in-connecticut-f73156a9
http://www.wsbtv.com/news/29188024/detail.html

Every other report I can find mentions his non-association with
DragonCon. None (other than possibly the ctpost.com one) shows any
obvious bias.

In service,
M. Alan Thomas II

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[CAR-PGa] Re: founder of DragonCon in trouble again

Obviously my Google-fu momentarily failed me, as obviously there are
many more articles. However, that's what's coming out of Atlanta's
biggest newspaper.

--Alan

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[CAR-PGa] Re: founder of DragonCon in trouble again

So far I see two references to Ed Kramer in headlines as DragonCon's
founder, both in the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. As far as I can
tell, one is simply the updated version of the other, since links to
the former now redirect to the latter.

link: http://www.ajc.com/news/gwinnett/50k-bond-for-dragoncon-1181076.html

The second paragraph--the first full paragraph after the lead-in
sentence--opens "Kramer, who has said he is no longer affiliated with
DragonCon, [. . ]". There's a few other references to his work with
conventions (e.g., a file photo captioned "Ed Kramer, posing for a
file photo as the organizer of the World Horror Convention in 1995"),
but they really just feel like the standard "who is this guy? / "why
is his important enough to merit an article?" background rather than
any attempt at drawing a connection. The article ends with statements
from DragonCon noting that he hasn't been involved since 2000 (i.e.,
since the original allegations surfaced).

The only other point of interest was a reference back to the original
charges 11 years ago: "Three teenage boys asserted that he sexually
abused them after dazzling them with action figures, sci-fi
memorabilia and celebrity connections." It doesn't mention any of the
other incidents from his past that Mike brings up at the Examiner, so
he actually comes out looking better in his local press than he does
in ours. (I'm not sure what to make of that, but I figure that the
truth can't hurt us.)

In summary, I'm sure that some people who already believe certain
stereotypes will find evidence for their hate in here, but that's
inevitable (not all gamers are saints) and it doesn't feel like the
paper is pushing that view.

In service,
M. Alan Thomas II

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[CAR-PGa] Re: founder of DragonCon in trouble again

This is very troubling. I tried to give a full history of the
situation as I understand it:
http://www.examiner.com/rpg-in-national/the-history-behind-dragon-con-founder-ed-kramer-s-recent-allegations

The whole story is littered with lawsuits. I'll edit the article as I
learn more.

Mike

On Sep 26, 11:44 am, Ted Skirvin <tedskir...@yahoo.com> wrote:
> Ed Kramer was the founder of DragonCon but has not been associated
> with the con in any way since 2000. Some time ago (late 1990's?) he
> was arrested for child molestation.
>
> He was arrested in Milford, Connecticut recently for violating the
> conditions of his bond. He was found in a motel room with a 14-year-
> old boy.
>
> The reason I bring this up is that we should monitor the newspapers
> local to milford and see if they reference D&D. It should be
> remembered that DragonCon started as a gaming event.

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[CAR-PGa] founder of DragonCon in trouble again

Ed Kramer was the founder of DragonCon but has not been associated
with the con in any way since 2000. Some time ago (late 1990's?) he
was arrested for child molestation.

He was arrested in Milford, Connecticut recently for violating the
conditions of his bond. He was found in a motel room with a 14-year-
old boy.

The reason I bring this up is that we should monitor the newspapers
local to milford and see if they reference D&D. It should be
remembered that DragonCon started as a gaming event.

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Stock Recommendation By Smart Profit

SMART INVESTMENT BY SMART PROFIT

BUY NATIONAL HYDRO POWER CORPORATION (533098)
CMP: 24
Target: 40 in 6 months
National Hydro Power Corporation, an entity of Government of India, is
country's largest hydro power producer.
NHPC is currently having an installed capacity of more than 5,300 MW
with 14 operational power stations and has a cash surplus of over Rs.
4,000 crore.
Net profit of NHPC rose 47.19% to Rs. 791.05 crore in the quarter
ended June 2011 as against Rs.537.42 crore during the previous quarter
ended June 2010. Sales rose 40.37% to Rs.1431.41 crore in the quarter
ended June 2011 as against Rs.1019.71 crore during the previous
quarter ended June 2010.
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various locations in the country, going to have an additional capacity
of 4,502 MW. It is planning to develop two hydro projects in Myanmar.
It plans to increase the capacity to over 10,000 MW by end of 2012.
The coal price is expected to rise by 2012, which will result in
increase in power price by 20%. This will further boost the profit
margin of NHPC to a large extent.
Spanning on Government's increasing emphasis on hydro power and NHPC's
strong hold, we recommend a BUY on NHPC at CMP of Rs 24, with a target
of Rs.40 in 6 months.

BUY FIRST SOURCE LIMITED (532809)
CMP: 12
Target: 24 in 4 months

Firstsource is a global BPO (business process outsourcing) service
provider, and is ranked #25 amongst the world's leading Global
Outsourcing companies by IAOP. They provide customized BPO solutions
to category leading companies in several industries including Banking
& Financial Services, Telecom & Media and Healthcare sectors. FSL
utilize global delivery model with operations in the USA, UK, India
and The Philippines. They are expanding their Asia business unit.
With more than 27000 employees, its revenue earning for FY 2010-211 is
US $ 44.8 Crore.
Total income from operations rose to Rs.523 crore during the April-
June quarter of 2011, compared to Rs.490.70 crore in the same period
last year. The volumes have risen by 6.6% on a yearly basis and 7.3%
in constant currency terms.
FSL sees a significant growth in Asia business unit, which is a
positive trend. In June quarter, they expanded their workforce by 25%
by adding 3000 new employees.
The expansion of workforce gives light on the increasing work of FSL
which shall be reflected in the coming quarters.

With expansion in geographical dimensions, increasing capacity and
work load, FSL is bound to grow at a higher rate. We recommend a
strong BUY with target of Rs.24 in 4 months.

BUY NEYVELI LIGNITE CORPORATION LIMITED (513683)
CMP: 82
Target: 150
NLC is a government-owned lignite mining Indian company, which is
wholly owned by the Union Government (49%) and administered via coal
ministry. It is recently announced as "Navratna" by Government of
India in April 2011. NLC Neyveli spreads over an area of around 54
square km, comprising Neyveli Township and temporary colonies around
32 blocks. The company runs the biggest open-pit lignite mines in
India and mines around 2.4 Crore tonnes of lignite annually for fuel,
with an installed capacity of 2490 MW of electricity per annum.
NLC now elaborated its project to Rajasthan also in mining as well as
thermal stations, 3 big mines also supplies a huge amount of sweet
water to Chennai. The Tamil Nadu electricity board has a JV with the
Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd (NLC) for two projects – A 1000-MW
coal-based project at Tuticorin in southy Tamil Nadu at the cost of Rs.
4000 crore and the Jayamkondam lignite power project at a cost of Rs.
5000 crore for 1000 – MW power plant.The company has also planned to
develop clean coal technologies like extraction of coal bed methane
(CBM) and Underground coal gasification for which several steps have
been taken.
Total income has increased from Rs.1258 Crore for the quarter ended
June 30, 2010 to Rs.1425 Crore for the quarter ended June 30, 2011,
representing increase of 13.28%.
Neyveli Lignite is an open-cast mechanized lignite mine. The Company
has 50 percent joint venture with Tamil Nadu Electricity Board and its
announced its plans to invest about Rs.36,900crore on power generation
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also planning to invest Rs.40,200 crore to build power plants in Tamil
Nadu, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh.
Strong expansion & diversification plans to explore coal-based, wind
and solar power generation projects will add on strength to the
cashbook.
We recommend 'BUY' on the stock at CMP 82 with a target price of Rs.
150 in 5 months

TATA COMMUNICATION (500483)
CMP: 192
Target: 250 in 2 months

Tata Communications Limited along with its global subsidiaries (Tata
Communications) is a leading global provider of the new world of
communications. The Tata Global Network encompasses one of the most
advanced and largest submarine cable networks, a Tier-1 IP network,
connectivity to more than 200 countries across 400 PoPs and more than
10 lac square feet data center space. Tata Communications serves its
customers from its offices in 80 cities in 40 countries worldwide.

The number one global international wholesale voice operator and
number one provider of International Long Distance, Enterprise Data
and Internet Services in India, the company was named "Best Wholesale
Carrier" at the World Communications Awardsand was named the "Best Pan-
Asian Wholesale Provider".

Tata Communications Ltd. is a part of the $6740 Crore Tata Companies;
it is listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock
Exchange of India and its ADRs are listed on the New York Stock
Exchange (NYSE: TCL).

Total income rose to Rs.3294.33 Crore during the April-June quarter of
2011, compared to Rs.2900.44 crore in the same period last year.

Tata comm has made conscious efforts to diversify from its core
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We believe the stock is a good opportunity point as long term drivers
are intact as addressable market opportunity leaves tremendous scope
for expansion stock may go up by 40%.
We recommend 'BUY' on the stock at CMP 192 with a target price of Rs.
250 in 2 months


DISCLAIMER:- Smart Profit has taken due care and caution in
compilation of data for its reports. The market view and investment
tips expressed on Smart Profit are in no way a guarantee either
express or implied. However, Smart Profit does not guarantee the
accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not
responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained
from the use of such information. CEO, Directors and staff may have a
position in the recommended stock.

FOR FUTHER DETAILS CONTACT:-

DIPAK MANGELA
(Research Analyst)
+919820260291
Email: dipak.mangela@smartprofit.in

MANSINGH RAI
(Sr. Executive)
+919320907684
Email: mansingh.rai@smartprofit.in

SHAILESH GOWDA
(Sr. Executive)
+919967394114
Email: shailesh.gowda@smartprofit.in

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[CAR-PGa] Shelly Mazzanoble interview in Forbes

(Cut and pasted from The Escapist Blog - www.theescapist.com/blog )

Shelly Mazzanoble, author of Confessions of a Part-Time Sorceress, has
published a followup: Everything I Need to Know, I Learned from
Dungeons & Dragons. David Ewalt from Forbes has an interview with her:

"I remember taking this psychology class in college and learning
that you should watch how people are with waiters and in traffic
because that is a good indication of their "human shadow"—the part of
ourselves we try to hide from everyone. I think D&D is probably the
best telltale for that. I've made some of the best friendships of my
life because of the relationships my character had in the dungeon."

You can read the full article here:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/davidewalt/2011/09/14/shelly-mazzanoble-dungeons-and-dragons/

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[CAR-PGa] Three quick updates

(Cut and pasted from The Escapist Blog - www.theescapist.com/blog )

- The Grand Masquerade, which is the 20th anniversary celebration of
the Vampire: The Masquerade RPG, starts this Thursday and runs through
Sunday. Whether you enjoy the game or not, it's still a very
impressive event centered around a single RPG. I'm hoping we'll see
some great pics and video of the celebration in the coming weeks.
(http://www.thegrandmasquerade.com/)

- Chuck Wending explains why writers should play roleplaying games.
Chuck uses a lot of grownup words, so please click with discretion.
(http://terribleminds.com/ramble/2011/09/13/why-writers-should-play-
roleplaying-games/
)

- Dungeons & Dragons has once again landed a nomination for the Toy
Hall of Fame, and again, the other nominees present some stiff
competition - the dollhouse, Hot Wheels, Jenga, Pogo Stick, Puppet, R/
C Vehicles, Rubik's Cube, Simon, Star Wars action figures,
Transformers, and Twister. Only two nominees will make it into the
Hall of Fame, and they will be announced on November 10th. (http://
www.whec.com/news/stories/S2281070.shtml?cat=566)

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BAJAJ AUTO LTD OVERPRICED By Smart Profit

BAJAJ AUTO LTD-OVERPRICED

Bajaj Auto Ltd, the 2nd largest manufacturer of two-wheelers in India,
reported less growth compared to its peers and its production
constrains, decreasing brand image, market acceptance.
Its not far that within 6 months Bajaj will downgrade to 4th position
from its 2nd position in two wheeler giving its way to Honda & TVS in
Indian market.

In Indian market, growth for the period of April to August 2011 as
compared to same period in 2010, Bajaj Auto sales has been 5% as
compared to Hero MotoCorp sales - 21%, Honda sales – 8%, Yamaha sales
- 36%, Suzuki sales - 42%, which clearly indicates the downgrade in
Bajaj Auto.
FIERCE COMPETITION:

Honda, who has newly emerged in the Indian market, is presently
producing 1.62 lacs units /month it is further increasing its capacity
to produce 2.5 lacs units /month, while its second plant in Alwar
(Rajasthan) has producing capacity of 6 lacs units /annum. The company
is now looking to double the production capacity in that plant to 12
lacs units /annum by March 2012. It is also planning to set up a new
third plant in Bangalore, which will help to reduce the delivery
waiting period from 6 to 8 months. The operations for the third plant
are reported to be commencing in the first half of 2013 with a
capacity of 12 lacs units /annum. Therefore by the end of the first
half of 2013, Honda's total production capacity will be 40 lacs units /
annum.
Hero MotoCorp, the market leader in this sector is continuously
posting double digit growth with robust sales each month. It is
currently producing 60 lacs units /annum and increasing its production
capacity to 72 lacs units /annum. In addition to this they are also
planning for 100% export oriented plant in Sanand, Gujarat
The TVS Motors is pushing well on moped front. It is also bullish on
export front and exploring new opportunities to expand its export
market. The company presently producing 25 lacs units /annum and
further increasing its production capacity to 35 lacs units /annum.
Mahindra, an established auto player has newly entered two and three
wheeler market. It is vigorously making a mark in this new segment
with its strong rural hold (it enjoys a good brand image because of
its tractors) and marketing strategies. They are coming up with
capacity of 70000 units per month soon.
Suzuki is all set to rage on the Indian market by increasing its
production capacity to 5.4 lacs units / annum from the current 2.5
lacs units / annum by the year 2012.
While Yamaha currently produces 6 lacs units /annum, it is looking to
raise this production capacity to 10 lacs units / annum by 2013 and
also aims to sell out up to 8,00,000 units in domestic markets
together with 2,00,000 exports.
Bajaj is not in any process of increasing its capacity. They are
facing constraints to sell off their current capacity to the fullest.
Bajaj is not introducing any of its new variant as well. And there is
no news of any other new plant as the competitors.
In three wheeler, Mahindra & Mahindra, Piaggio, TVS are capturing
market firmly. TVS is tripling its capacity to 8000 units / month for
three wheelers. Italian based Piaggio is increasing its capacity to
40000 units / month.
This fierce competition in two and three wheeler sector is affecting
Bajaj's survival in industry.
MARKET RESEARCH ON TWO WHEELER SECTOR IN INDIA:-

According to market research performed on consumers, the most
preferred brand of two-wheelers is Honda, followed by Hero MotoCorp,
Suzuki and then followed by Bajaj and TVS.
In Indian two wheeler market, Bajaj Auto's market share has been
decreasing from 35% in 2006 to 16.5% in August 2011. The increasing
expansion of competitors, fuel price hike, increase in prices of two
wheelers, unsatisfactory quality of product and negligible marketing
promotion strategy of Bajaj with decreasing market share signifies its
downfall in auto industry.
On the domestic front, Bajaj Auto sold 2 lakh units of two wheelers.
Consolidating the overall two wheelers sold in August 2011 by all the
players, we can sum upto 12 lakh units have been sold in India for
this month(Hero MotoCorp - 5,03,654, Bajaj – 199829, TVS- 1,63,705,
Honda- 1,60,666, Suzuki- 26,897,Yamaha- 39,490, Mahindra- 15,120,
Others like LML, Kinetic, Yo bikes- 90000) . This signifies the market
share of Bajaj to be 16.5% in domestic market. Bajaj's market share
has been decreasing tremendously over the years and picturing the
current scenario, it is further expected to fall to 15% in next 6
months and less than 10% in one year, due to Honda's Alwar plant.
We interacted with Bajaj Auto dealers and as they said, Bajaj is
increasing inventory with their dealers and distributors. Thus the
sales recorded by Bajaj in last 5 months are not consumer sale but the
inventory sale of dealers and distributors. Hero MotoCorp & Honda has
waiting period ranging from 4 - 8 months whereas Bajaj's bikes are
overstocked with the dealers. A dealer's sale ranges from 150- 500
units per month depending on the area, but the inventory stock is
300-1200. Acceptance of Bajaj in market has gone for a toss. Dealers
have reported dissatisfaction for Bajaj. They say Bajaj have been
compromising on quality to reduce cost in order to face competition as
they can't further increase their price. They have reduced their
marketing promotion to this level that dealers are not provided with
sufficient marketing accessories like brochures and pamphlets.

OPM PRESSURES TO INCREASE SEQUENTIALLY :-
Input costs have increased recently following the spurt in steel,
rubber and aluminum prices. Thus, Margins of Auto universe is expected
to contract sequentially to reflect higher input costs. This will
result in very high operating margin pressure.

The leader in this segment Hero Honda is a better performer with
increasing market share in last 1 year. Its share price rose by 15 %
whereas Bajaj 's share price rose by 300% in last one year i.e. Bajaj
Auto is only operated base not fundamental.
2 years back Bajaj was trading at 300 share price. On August, 2011 the
stock touched 1650 after 1:1 bonus i.e.3300 which is more than 1000%
increase in price. This is not fundamentally or technically justified.
Fundamentally, Bajaj is losing its ground by decreasing market share
and expecting it to fall further.
Thus studying the fundamental and technical aspect of Bajaj Auto, it
is trading at its highest level and we recommend a STRONG SELL on
Bajaj Auto at CMP 1600 with target it falling down to 1100 soon.

DISCLAIMER:- Smart Profit has taken due care and caution in
compilation of data for its reports. The market view and investment
tips expressed on Smart Profit are in no way a guarantee either
express or implied. However, Smart Profit does not guarantee the
accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not
responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained
from the use of such information. CEO, Directors and staff may have a
position in the recommended stock.

FOR FUTHER DETAILS CONTACT:-

DIPAK MANGELA
(Research Analyst)
+919820260291
Email: dipak.mangela@smartprofit.in

MANSINGH RAI
(Sr. Executive)
+919320907684
Email: mansingh.rai@smartprofit.in

SHAILESH GOWDA
(Sr. Executive)
+919967394114
Email: shailesh.gowda@smartprofit.in

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